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New Ethereum proposal would cut issuance to zero if staked ETH reaches $112 billion

Aug 10, 2026  Twila Rosenbaum 7 views
New Ethereum proposal would cut issuance to zero if staked ETH reaches $112 billion

A new draft proposal on Ethereum, designated EIP-8361, could fundamentally reshape how the network rewards stakers. The proposal, put forward by six prominent Ethereum researchers, would progressively burn a larger portion of validator rewards as the total amount of staked ETH climbs. Under the most extreme scenario, ETH issuance would drop to zero once roughly 60.25 million ETH — about half of the total supply — is staked. At current market prices, that threshold corresponds to approximately $112 billion worth of Ethereum locked in staking.

Understanding the Proposal

Ethereum transitioned to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism in September 2022, in an event widely known as The Merge. Since then, validators must lock up 32 ETH each to participate in block production and transaction finality. In return, they earn newly issued ETH plus transaction fees and tips. The issuance of new ETH is designed to reward honest participation and secure the network, but it also adds to the total supply over time.

EIP-8361, which stands for Ethereum Improvement Proposal 8361, introduces a mechanism that dynamically adjusts the burn rate of new issuance. Instead of a fixed inflation schedule, the proposal ties the burn rate directly to the staking ratio. As more ETH is staked, the network would begin burning a growing fraction of the newly issued ETH. When the staking ratio reaches approximately 50% of the total supply, the burn rate would hit 100%, effectively making net issuance zero.

The authors behind the proposal include researchers who have long been involved in Ethereum's consensus layer design. Their goal is not to punish validators, but to address a structural issue that has emerged since staking became widely available. As staking yields remain attractive, more ETH is being locked up, often through liquid staking platforms and centralized exchanges. This trend raises concerns about the concentration of control over the network and the potential for censorship or collusion.

The Staking Centralization Problem

Currently, Ethereum's staking participation rate hovers around 30% of the total supply. While that number allows for a robust security model, it has been climbing steadily. Liquid staking services like Lido, Rocket Pool, and Coinbase's staking product make it easier for everyday users to stake without running a validator node. However, these services also introduce a layer of intermediation. Large amounts of staked ETH are now controlled by a handful of entities, which some observers say undermines the decentralization ethos of the network.

Furthermore, high staking participation can lead to a scenario where governance decisions are influenced by large staking providers. The Ethereum community has already seen contentious debates around consensus changes where staking pools held significant sway. EIP-8361 aims to introduce an economic disincentive for over-staking. If yields drop as more ETH is staked, rational participants may choose to keep their ETH liquid rather than add to the staking supply. This would naturally cap the staking ratio and preserve a larger float for decentralized applications, DeFi, and ordinary transactions.

How the Burn Mechanism Works

Under the current protocol, validators receive a base reward that is a function of the total staked ETH. The more ETH staked, the lower the base reward per validator, but the total issuance still increases, albeit at a decreasing rate. EIP-8361 suggests a more aggressive approach: instead of just letting yields fall due to dilution, the protocol would actively burn a portion of the issuance.

For example, if the burn rate is set at 50%, then half of all newly issued ETH in a given epoch would be sent to a burn address, effectively removing it from circulation. The remaining half would be distributed to validators as normal rewards. As the staking ratio climbs, the burn rate would rise in a smooth curve. This means the total supply of ETH could actually decrease over time if burning outpaces other forms of issuance, such as those from block rewards.

The proposal specifically targets only newly issued ETH. Transaction fees and tips, which are also paid to validators, would not be affected. This distinction is important because it preserves the incentive for validators to include transactions and maintain network security. Even if issuance drops to zero, validators would still earn from transaction fees and potentially from layer-2 activity that settles on Ethereum.

Phase-In Timeline and Technical Details

The authors envision a gradual implementation over roughly two years. Once activated, the burn rate would adjust every epoch based on the current staking ratio. A built-in delay ensures that sudden changes in staking behavior do not cause abrupt shifts in rewards. The proposal includes a decaying parameter that prevents oscillations and gives validators time to adapt.

Under this schedule, the burn rate would remain low initially, so early adopters and current validators would not see a dramatic change in their returns. As staking participation approaches the target threshold, the burn rate would accelerate. The precise mathematical formula is still under review, but the concept is clear: make it progressively less attractive to add new ETH to the staking pool.

The proposal also considers the effect on the total supply. Ethereum currently has a slight deflationary bias when transaction fee burning exceeds issuance, thanks to EIP-1559. EIP-8361 would amplify this effect, potentially making ETH even scarcer over time. While some see this as a bullish factor, others worry that aggressive supply reduction could create unintended economic consequences, especially during market downturns.

Mixed Reactions from Developers and the Community

The proposal has already generated heated discussion among Ethereum developers, DeFi builders, and token holders. Advocates argue that it addresses an urgent need to protect Ethereum's credibility as a decentralized network. They point to the growing dominance of a few staking pools and the risk of regulatory pressure forcing those pools to censor transactions. By reducing the rewards for additional staking, EIP-8361 could encourage a more distributed validation landscape, with smaller independent validators playing a larger role.

Skeptics, however, question whether the proposal is too invasive. Some developers believe that market-based solutions, such as competition among staking providers, will naturally solve the centralization problem. Others worry that cutting issuance to zero could lower the security budget of the network. Validators commit capital and run infrastructure; if yields fall too much, some may exit, potentially reducing the total stake and making the network easier to attack. The authors counter that the curve is calibrated to maintain a high enough staking ratio, and that transaction fees will continue to provide a significant income stream.

DeFi participants have also weighed in. Many DeFi protocols rely on staked ETH tokens like stETH from Lido or cbETH from Coinbase. These tokens are widely used as collateral in lending and borrowing markets. A change to staking rewards would directly affect the yield on these liquid staking derivatives, potentially altering their attractiveness relative to other yield-bearing assets. Some DeFi users welcome the change as a way to reduce the outsized influence of liquid staking tokens, while others fear it could trigger a migration away from these established instruments.

What Comes Next for EIP-8361

The proposal is still in an early draft stage. It has not yet been formally submitted to the Ethereum Magicians forum for peer review, nor has it been assigned to a specific network upgrade. The next major Ethereum upgrade, code-named Hegotá, is already packed with other Ethereum Improvement Proposals, including changes to validator exit queues and execution layer optimizations. Developers have indicated that EIP-8361 is unlikely to be included in Hegotá, which is expected to launch in the coming months.

That said, the timeline for Ethereum improvements is often fluid. If the core developer community reaches a consensus that staking centralization is a pressing risk, EIP-8361 could be fast-tracked into a subsequent upgrade. The authors have expressed willingness to revise the parameters based on feedback, and a dedicated breakout session is expected to be scheduled at an upcoming Ethereum Core Devs meeting.

In the meantime, the proposal adds to a broader conversation about how mature proof-of-stake networks should evolve. As staking becomes the dominant form of securing such networks, the question of optimal staking participation becomes more complex. EIP-8361 offers a bold answer: cap the incentive to stake by making issuance non-linear and eventually zero. Whether that vision becomes reality depends on the community's appetite for change and its ability to reach consensus on fundamental economic parameters.

The researchers behind the proposal emphasize that their goal is not to eliminate staking, but to maintain a healthy balance. They believe that Ethereum should not become a network where the majority of supply is locked up in staking contracts, because that would reduce the utility of ETH as a medium of exchange and create vulnerabilities. A modest staking ratio, they argue, is more resilient against coordinated attacks and regulatory capture.

As the debate continues, prospective validators and staking participants should watch the development closely. If EIP-8361 gains traction, the economics of securing Ethereum could look very different in a few years. Burn rates, yield curves, and staking ratios will become common topics in community calls. The proposal may not make it into Hegotá, but its introduction has already shaken the assumption that staking rewards are a permanent and ever-growing pie. Instead, Ethereum may be moving toward a model where the pie shrinks as more people try to take a slice.


Source:Coindesk News


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